10:34 p.m. Sorry, I took a break to check out the national returns. And not much changed in the meantime; the trends that have been forming for a couple of hours are still holding true. Here’s how things look right now:

Phil Scott’s winning again. Amanda Janoo has been slowly taking nibbles out of his lead, but he’s still 5.7 points ahead with 88% of the votes counted. She’s going to come closer to beating Scott than anyone else on Planet Earth, but she’s not gonna win.

Otherwise, this election could hardly have gone worse for Scott and the VTGOP. Lt. Gov. John Rodgers is getting his clock cleaned. He’s barely running ahead of the no-hopers on the Republican statewide ticket. He is decidedly not the Republicans’ hope for a governor to succeed Scott.

We’re going back to Democratic supermajorities. It looks very much like the Democrats will take back all or almost all the ground they lost in 2024. It looks very much like they will again hold supermajorities in both legislative chambers.

Rural Vermont Rising was a flash in the pan, not a growing force in Vermont politics. Leaving aside the question of whether rural Vermont has been getting the shaft (and I believe there’s a good argument that they have not), they’re getting their collective asses kicked in this election. RVR was seen as a movement on the rise after 2024, but their momentum is all gone after tonight.

Now back to the liveblogging, at least for a while. We’re getting to the point where the big questions are close to being answered, but let’s root around in the returns and see if there’s anything happening.

10:45 p.m. Phil Scott’s middle name must be “sui generis.” He is truly one of a kind. He has a unique hold on the voting public in Vermont. They stick with him through thick and thin. He has run for office in every election since 2000, and he has yet to be defeated. He is the only person to win six terms as Vermont governor. I’m pretty sure Janoo will come closer to beating him than any other candidate ever.

At the same time, the voters are once again making it clear that generally speaking, they favor the Democratic Party over the Republicans. It’ll be interesting to see if Scott tries to claim a mandate if he wins narrowly while the VTGOP takes an historic shellacking.

10:49 p.m. Early prediction for 2028: Phil Scott will not seek a seventh term. Janoo will run again, and should be considered the early favorite in a dogpile of a Democratic primary.

10:50 p.m. The two constitutional amendments are sailing to passage by lopsided margins. Prop 3 has 74% of the vote, and Prop 4 has 79%.

10:51 p.m. Nothing has changed in the state Senate races. The Democrats are still on track to pick up four seats, while the Republicans are likely to lose five. Republican Senators on their way out include Steven Heffernan of Addison, Pat Brennan of Grand Isle, John Benson of Orange, and alleged daughter-puncher Terry Williams of Rutland (who would be replaced by independent Dave Wolk). Rep. Ashley Bartley has apparently fallen short in her bid to win the Chittenden North Senate seat. The new Senate would include 21 Dems and Progs, eight Repubs, and one independent.

10:55 p.m. In the House, likely Republican losers include Rob North, Jim Casey, Mary Morrissey (!!!), Sandra Pinsonault, Debra Powers, Mike Southworth, Brenda Steady, Anthony Micklus, Kumulia Long, Joe Luneau, John Brigham, Richard Bailey, Kevin Winter, Michael Boutin, and Tom Charlton. Mind you, those are only the incumbents on their way to defeat. Some first-time candidates have lost Republican seats as well. Rep. Michael Morgan looks to have survived the devastation by the hairs on his chinny-chin-chin. If any. Necessary caveat: There’s a very good chance of a surprise comeback or two in the legislative races. But the shape and scope of the results are established beyond challenge.

11:04 p.m. Yeah, I’m ready to call it for Phil Scott even if the Associated Press isn’t there yet. With 92% of the vote counted, he’s 5.7 points ahead of Amanda Janoo. This will, in fact, be the closest contest Phil Scott has ever been in. For those who want to being parsing the results, here’s the latest iteration of the Secretary of State’s heatmap, showing which communities went for which candidate and by how much. The bigger and darker the circle, the more decisive the margin.

On the live version, available on the Vermont Public election page, you can click on each town or city and see exactly how they voted. But you can eyeball this map and tell where each candidate was strong. For Janoo, the Connecticut River Valley, Burlington, Winooski, and Montpelier. For Scott, Rutland and Franklin counties plus the Northeast Kingdom and his working-class stomping grounds in central Vermont.

11:11 p.m. The AP has called victory for both constitutional amendments. It has yet to call any statewide races besides U.S. Rep. Becca Balint’s, which I guess is because there’s still a mathematical possibility of a reversal. But the races for lieutenant governor, attorney general, auditor, secretary of state and treasurer have never, ever been close.

11:12 p.m. Things are settled enough for me to hang up my blogger hat for the night. I’m sorry about Janoo, who put everything she had into the race and broke through the Democrats’ aversion for their own gubernatorial candidates. She ran a hell of a race on her own terms. Post-mortems are for tomorrow. I’ll see you then.