Shouldn’t We Be Thinking Big on Housing?

As the Legislature pursues an actual housing policy in the absence of Gov. Phil Scott, who is focused solely on regulatory reform, there’s my question.

Shouldn’t we be thinking big?

Like “a record-breaking bond issue to jumpstart our supply of affordable housing” big.

Back in 2017 the Legislature and governor approved a $37 million affordable housing bond. In the ensuing two years, then-senator Michael Sirotkin, then chair of the Senate Economic Development Committee, proposed a second bond of $35 million (2019) or $50 million (2020). His efforts fell short, in part because then-treasurer Beth Pearce expressed concern about Vermont’s total indebtedness,

Well, it’s more than time to reopen that question and, honestly, push it as far as we possibly can. I’d aim high, maybe $250 million, and see what I could get. Why not? If we have a housing crisis, shouldn’t the response be proportionate?

Of course I would want this bond to be carefully crafted. All parties involved in building a program that gets maximum bang for the buck.

The governor seems to think that investing in public goods like housing is equivalent to putting money in a pile and setting it on fire. In fact, creating more housing would spur economic activity throughout the economy and allow much-needed workforce expansion. It’s like those tax increment financing districts the governor loves so dearly, except much more so. The economic growth would more than pay for the interest on housing bonds. It would ease our school funding crunch by expanding property tax bases and providing opportunity for more families to live here and send their kids to local schools.

A few figures for your consideration. Vermont’s total state and local indebtedness ranks 49th out of the 50 states at $4.72 billion. Only Wyoming has borrowed less. Our per capita borrowing is less than half that of California, which is actively considering a massive housing bond of its own. A $250 million housing bond would increase our indebtedness by… 5.3 percent.

I think that’s doable.

Do you remember when Pearce’s opposition helped sink a second housing bond? Her stance was actually a lot more nuanced. She didn’t oppose borrowing of any kind; she only said it should be within the limits set by the Capital Debt Affordability Advisory Committee, which annually reviews the affordability of state borrowing. She said bonding for housing was “an option,” but she would prefer cash outlays.

What’s changed since then? Our budget is suddenly much tighter because of we’ve spent virtually all of the federal American Rescue Plan Act funds that floated our budgets in recent years. And our housing crisis is one hell of a lot worse than it was in the year 2020.

That $37 billion bond, according to Pearce’s office, “leveraged federal and state money, tax credits, and other resources to build nearly 800 units of housing in Vermont.” It was a great success. But it wasn’t enough. Now is the time to do more. Don’t open the spigot a quarter turn; crank it all the way open. Damn the torpedoes, full speed ahead.

6 thoughts on “Shouldn’t We Be Thinking Big on Housing?

  1. Frederick Weston

    Great idea, John. But it only makes sense–for those who occupy the houses and for the greater society–if the buildings are as energy efficient as they possibly can be and net zero-carbon. That’s necessary if we’re going to meet our climate ambitions, but it’s also the only way to minimize the operating costs of the housing, which is the best thing we can do for the occupants and the economy.

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  2. Dan Jones

    If you couple this idea with the need for flood resiliency in the face of the growing climate crisis, our threatened river valley downtowns. the monies could be used to stabilize the downtowns with new housing not subject to the rising threats of being washed away and keep central cities vibrant.

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  3. P.

    That is your problem right there, the Scott administration can’t think and the Democratic elite can’t be bothered to think. How long has Vermont been in a housing crisis and how much new housing has gone up? I am willing to bet a single digit percentage of what is needed and I would be shocked if it was high as 5% of what is needed. Having lived in 8 other states all over the country, quality houses can go up quickly with the new pre-fab modular style. I also willing to bet there is a sizable number that would be happy to live in a decent mobile home. I have the feeling there is a sizable group of power broker types that don’t want this fixed.

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  4. P.

    $37 billion for 800 units??!!? That can’t be correct? If it is, I would love to see an independent audit because that does not make any sense.

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  5. Walter Carpenter

    “I have the feeling there is a sizable group of power broker types that don’t want this fixed.”

    Or at least fixed in the way that they want it to be fixed so that the money flows out of our pockets to them and everyone else who feeds off of them.

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