Vermont’s Renewable Energy Sector Has Taken a Dive Since 2016. Gee, What Happened at the End of That Year?

The good folks at Renewable Energy Vermont have issued a new report called “No Good Reason” which chronicles the extreme slowdown in solar energy projects since 2016. As seen in the above graph, Vermont’s rollout has slowed at the same time that solar is on the rise across America.

Two words missing from the report: “Phil Scott.”

Yep. the report shows that since 2016, state regulators have done their level best to delay and defeat solar energy development in Vermont. But while it assigns blame to the Public Utility Commission, the Department of Public Service and the Agency of Natural Resources, it skirts around naming the man responsible for appointing those officials and setting the policy course they all follow. Also unmentioned: political appointees like DPS Commissioner June Tierney, ANR Secretary Julie Moore, PUC Chair Anthony Roisman, and PUC Commissioner Margaret Cheney, a.k.a. the wife of U.S. Sen. Peter Welch.

Maybe REV is trying to be diplomatic. Myself, I think they’re cowards.

Still, it’s a great report that quantifies what’s been obvious for years: the Scott administration is happy to obstruct solar in Vermont and meet our renewable energy needs with power from Hydro Quebec.

The result: Vermont ranks 48th in the nation in meeting its electricity needs within its borders. Only Massachusetts and Delaware, small states that consume a lot more energy than Vermont, rank lower.

A few key passages from the report:

Over the last half- decade, the process of permitting renewable energy projects has become increasingly unpredictable. Today, the process is impeding the deployment of renewable generating capacity, blunting climate mitigation efforts, and raising the cost to consumers of transitioning to clean, renewable energy.

…Over the last half-decade, REV members have faced an increasingly adversarial approach from the Public Utility Commission (PUC) and Agency of Natural Resources (ANR) towards renewable development.

…REV members that work in multiple states report that the regulatory review process in Vermont is especially challenging for all but the smallest rooftop projects. This is driven by increasing unpredictability and extended project permitting timelines.

Now tell me Vermont is a leader in fighting climate change.

The report details ten cases in which proposed solar developments have been obstructed, delayed, and usually defeated for, as the title says, No Good Reason. The PUC has gone out of its way to seek additional testimony and commission study after study, and ultimately reject proposals for the thinnest of reasons.

Scott has made it clear he’s perfectly happy to get our renewable energy from the massive power projects of Hydro Québec. He ignores the downsides of the arrangement, starting with the widespread environmental damage HQ has wrought on First Nations lands.

Right now, Vermont is in the middle of a 25-year contract with HQ that provides power at relatively low rates. But we are a bit player in the regional energy marketplace. When that contract expires and Scott is long gone, we’ll be bidding against Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Connecticut, whose purchasing power will overwhelm Vermont’s.

Those southern New England states look to be facing a renewables crunch of their own, as offshore wind proposals have run into heavy weather:

Four major offshore wind developers in Massachusetts and New York say their signed contracts to deliver electricity are no longer adequate to secure financing for the projects… The developers say they need more money to build their wind farms, which is putting regulators in a very awkward situation. States need the wind farms to have a chance of meeting their climate change goals, but giving in to the demands of the developers could set a dangerous precedent and translate into much higher prices for electricity ratepayers.

Failing to develop in-state renewables is astoundingly short-sighted, when we could easily generate much more of our own power — keeping our money right here at home and reducing our dependence on outside providers.

Speaking of the GWSA, it did establish emissions targets in the law. If we fail to meet them, the door is open to lawsuits against the state. And you can bet there are organizations and individuals ready to file suit if Vermont falls short.

I haven’t mentioned the moral dimension — our obligation to do our part in fighting climate change. We’re failing right now, and as much good work as the Democratic Legislature has done on the Global Warming Solutions Act and the Affordable Heat Standard, they have yet to seriously tackle reforms that would eliminate roadblocks to solar development. We sure as hell can’t expect the Scott administration to do so on its own.

Problem is, there’s a decided lack of political will on expanding renewables. Across the board — Republican, Democratic and Progressive. That story is written plain as day in Margaret Cheney’s complicity in Scott’s anti-renewables policy. NIMBYism is at epidemic levels in Vermont. We just love our little theme park of a state, and don’t want anything to intrude on anybody’s viewshed.

It’s a massive failure to come to grips with the realities of climate change, which are going to alter our B.L.S. in ways we can scarcely imagine. If you think a solar array is a bridge too far, just wait until our weather is more like Virginia’s than Vermont’s, the maple and winter tourism industries are all but gone, and our population has spiked due to an influx of climate refugees.

We talk a good game about fighting climate change, but we have yet to get serious about it. The REV report ought to be a wake-up call.

Funny thing. “No Good Reason” was released on Wednesday — the scheduled second day of the Legislature’s veto override session. As it happened, the Leg adjourned on Tuesday, but Wednesday was a bad day to issue a major press release. Our small cadre of political reporters worked overtime on Tuesday, and likely took some comp time Wednesday.

Which might explain why, as far as I can tell, none of our media outlets has breathed a word about the report. (Well, the Vermont Business Journal dutifully regurgitated REV’s press release.) Bad luck or bad planning on REV’s part? Or were they effectively burying their own report?

I’m inclined to think bad planning. But for whatever reason, this report has fallen like a tree in the forest. Scarcely anybody heard.

2 thoughts on “Vermont’s Renewable Energy Sector Has Taken a Dive Since 2016. Gee, What Happened at the End of That Year?

  1. Annette Smith's avatarAnnette Smith

    The REV report titled “No Good Reason” neglects to mention there are good reasons that solar development slowed from 2020 – 2022: because REV asked the PUC to extend commissioning deadlines due to pandemic-related workforce, supply chain and other issues that are detailed in numerous public comments to the PUC. Now REV blames the PUC for doing exactly what they asked them to do, without disclosing those issues in their misleading Report. Their other graph seems to imply that Vermont should be doing our share similar to Wyoming and West Virginia by generating a lot of electricity in Vermont (using coal). Shame on Vermont for not having the highest per capita emissions in the country like Wyoming. According to a report mentioned in yesterday’s Times Argus/Rutland Herald editorial, Vermont has the lowest per capita emissions in the country.

    The PUC’s order of April 30, 2020 requested comments on pandemic-related issues for commissioning energy generation projects, and extending deadlines.

    REV response of May 12, 2020
    REV suggests at least a one-year extension of all construction and commissioning deadlines for all renewable electricity and storage projects that currently have a Certificate of Public Good issued by the Commission. We recommend this action to help forestall the inevitable deluge of individualized extension requests, and conserve resources for the Commission, relevant state and local agencies, and all parties.

    Lots of other comments were filed through Feb. 2022 that can be found at this tab. https://epuc.vermont.gov/?q=node/64/148325/FV-Public%20Comments-Portal
    Note that many comments filed in Feb. 2022 request a one-year extension. This is after the PUC had already granted an extension due to the pandemic.

    Below are excerpts from some of the comments filed, including by authors of the REV report who are now blaming the PUC for slowing the commissioning of solar projects in Vermont with a misleading graph that includes the time frame from 2020 through 2022 without disclosing the reason for the low numbers is because that’s what REV wanted.

    MHG Solar
    The current market conditions are both fully out of the control of CPG holders like MHG and dramatically different than the market conditions that existed when the 1-year commissioning deadline was broadly considered by all parties to be a reasonable timeline.

    To that end, MHG Solar strongly supports a one-year extension of all commissioning deadlines as set forth in the request for comments, as it stands as a logical way to broadly address many of the unknowable variables tied to this broad disruption without every project having to come before the Commission with largely the same pattern of facts.

    Norwich Solar Technologies (represented at the PUC by Kim Hayden and Leslie Cadwell, authors of the REV report)
    The Vermont and national solar energy industry continues to be plagued by significant COVID- related global supply chain disruptions, including scarce raw materials, continued manufacturing shutdown and delays, shipping delays and subcontract employee staffing. All of which are beyond a Certificate of Public Good (“CPG”) Holder’s control. These interruptions added to frequent CPG seasonal construction restrictions are creating significant uncertainty in assuring projects are installed and commissioned within the one-year timeframe.

    Green Peak Solar
    The COVID‐19 pandemic has had significant effect on construction activities in Vermont. Reduced production early in the pandemic due to restrictions on in‐person gatherings here in the United States and around the world has caused scarcity in raw materials (such as steel and copper), and delays in manufacturing for many essential components. For example, the lead time for racking has nearly doubled from 10‐12 weeks prior to the pandemic to 22‐23 weeks. Similarly, lead times for reclosers have extended from 16 weeks to 26 weeks, transformer lead times for pad mount transformers have extended to 40 weeks and substation voltage regulators were 56 weeks when I last spoke with Green Mountain Power.

    David Blittersdorf’s All Earth Renewables, which, along with REV (which he founded) were two entities that filed the requests to the PUC for the blanket extensions:
    Pandemic-related supply chain and labor issues persist and are unlikely to end in the near term. The impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic outlined in the AER and REV requests are well articulated in the comments that have been filed to date, and are well documented through a myriad of reports and sources around labor,1 production,2 and shipping3 issues. AER continues to see increasing pressure in all of these areas, including significant delays in obtaining components manufactured by our in-state suppliers. These factors have impeded the work of not only renewable energy developers, but of Vermont electric utilities as well, impacting those utilities’ ability to carry out what they need to do relative to interconnection of renewable energy projects both large and small.

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